The Miami Three are in trouble. The two Diaz-Balarts are both under a 50% re-elect and hold only single digit leads against their Democratic challengers, according to a poll released today by Bendixen Associates.
The survey of nearly 350 registered voters in each of three congressional districts suggests vulnerabilities for the Diaz-Balart brothers, but also shows Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen besting her Democratic opponent, Annette Taddeo, by 27 percentage points -- 58 to 31 -- with just 11 percent undecided....Okay, not good news for the Taddeo campaign, but it's early and the Republican brand is not going to get more appealing in the coming months. That race will tighten up if Taddeo can continue to fundraise strongly--you can help by going here.
That contrasts with the potentially competitive nature of the two other races: Lincoln Diaz-Balart leads former Hialeah mayor Raul Martinez 41 percent to 37 percent in the poll, with 22 percent undecided. Mario Diaz-Balart leads Joe Garcia, former chairman of the Miami-Dade Democratic Party, 44 percent to 39 percent, with 17 percent undecided.
But those numbers for Garcia and Martinez are terrific. Those races look like they'll be tight all the way to November, and the more Democratic seats we have in Congress, the better our chances for progressive legislation--and the more locally Democratic House members we have, the better our chances of making sure Mel Martinez is a one-term Senator in 2010.
Yeah, I'm looking ahead a bit.